Dubai Real Estate Gains From Policy Shifts As Supply Builds

October 28,2025

Global money is choosing Dubai real estate for practical reasons. Property linked residency rules are clear, the AED’s link to the dollar removes FX guesswork, and digital conveyancing makes closings fast. That clarity is matching real demand.H1-2025 recorded about 125,500 deals worth AED 431 bn; Q3 added roughly 59,200 sales totaling AED 170.7 bn; the nine month tally crossed AED 498.8 bn. Off-plan captured close to 70% of quarterly activity, showing where momentum sits.

Policy shifts overseas are amplifying this pull. Spain has ended its property golden visa, Portugal removed the real estate path, and Greece raised entry thresholds. The UK’s non-dom changes in 2025 and India’s tighter foreign asset disclosures are pushing mobile wealth toward clean, transparent regimes. The UAE offers two simple rungs AED 750k for short residency and AED 2 m for a ten year route processed quickly through a digitized system.

Macro helps as well. Brent near the low-$60s eases input costs and imported inflation. Mortgages in the high-3s to ~5% keep end user demand in play and help off-plan buyers meet stage payments. A softer dollar improves purchasing power for non USD investors, a firmer dollar just requires sharper entries. Daily registrations remain broad based, signaling depth rather than dependence on a single buyer cohort.

Supply is the watch item. Launches are heavy in connected districts such as JVC, Dubai South, and Dubailand, with delivery calendars stretching into 2027+. That’s fine if absorption holds; risk builds when differentiation is thin or timelines slip. Treat developer balance sheets, escrow behavior, and contractor progress as non-negotiables. For ready stock, prefer communities with rental depth, sensible service charges, and hard to replicate features. At the ultra prime end, pay for true scarcity and brand not just marketing.

Use a simple filter - assess the developer first, then the location, then the payment structure. Lock financing where it smooths cash flow. Underwrite with a margin of safety and expect most of the return to come from rent rather than a quick resale. Off-plan near 70 percent, Q3 value above AED 170 billion, and nine month value near AED 500 billion, together with overseas policy shifts, explain why capital keeps coming in.

We at CMC turns those signals into clear, actionable property strategies for clients.

Adil
CEO, 
Comprehensive Management Consultants LLC.
Dubai

For a confidential discussion on aligning your investment strategy with these unfolding dynamics, feel free to connect directly.

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